Why are the building permit numbers going back?

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In the last 5 years the following happened:

  • 2014 became (in Berlin) that purpose Alienationban introduced.
  • 2015 was (nationwide) the Rental pricebrake introduced.
  • From 2015 to today were (in Berlin) several dozen new environment protectionareas decreed, in which neither normal modernized nor without massive restrictions new residential property can be formed.
  • Since 2017, the state of Berlin is increasingly engaged in municipal affairs pre-emptive rights out: in 2017 six times more than 2016 and in 2018 four times more than 2017 (see here). Planning certainty for investors who need to lock in and hold loans without knowing whether they can then implement them is so significantly disturbed.
  • 2018 became the misappropriationban (in Berlin) further tightened.
  • In 2018 became a intensification the rental price brake discussed and (nationwide) to enter 01.01.2019 placed.
  • Also to 01.01.2019 was (nationwide) the modernization assessment from 11% to 8% and to a maximum of 3 or 2 Euro lowered.
  • Also to 01.01.2019 were (nationwide) new Fines (€)regulations against landlords introduced.
  • Beginning 2019 launched (in Berlin) the initiative "Expropriate Deutsche Wohnen & Co", with the larger housing (construction) companies expropriated should be. 77.000 signatures were collected at the first attempt. In chronological context with the press coverage to it were attacks on vehicles and property of Deutsche Wohnen SE.
  • In June 2019 was decided (in Berlin) to have a "Rent cover" wants to introduce. It's all the rents lowered that are above an as yet unknown "prescription lease". In addition, rent increases abolished and modernizations under additional bureaucratic licensing procedures are provided.
  • The Party leadership of the federal SPD demands an nationwide Mietendeckel.
  • The Federal Ministry of Justice is currently occupied by the SPD and the minister wants one "Stricter tenancy law", Besides, she stops Expropriations not for excluded.
  • Currently the land tax reformed. Although politicians have promised that they will be revenue neutral, they all expect massive ones additional charges (see also here and here). That FAZ calculate it.
  • The Greens in the Bund want the levy of the land tax on tenants abolish.
  • The way food is Cost of a new CO2 tax for buildings, when it comes to the Greens, stay with the owners and not be passed on can.
  • The Greens also want to continue at the federal level, the tenancy generally (significantly) on toughen.
  • Contrary to all political assurances in 2015 that the rental price brake is only a temporary remedy and limited to 5 years, it should now be prolonged and permanently maintained at the end of this period.
  • The OECD calls quite fresh that real estate sales in Germany in general taxable be, even those of privately used apartments / houses. Also, the 10-year holding period should abolished become. Why the OECD gives suggestions for German tax law, is unclear - I suspect, here is played over bonds, so that the demand does not come from German politics, but from "external".
  • For the 01.01.2020, the tax criteria for share deals are to be massively tightened (Notes to the draft bill).

In Berlin, the Number of building permits, with the decrease accelerating, see for 2017 here and for 2018 here. Today the Federal Statistical Office reports that the number of building permits nationwide sinks, only exception: single-family homes (the FAZ reports here).